Values in Care

    Starting a statin when 10-year cardiovascular risk is 7.5% to under 10%

    Whether to start a statin to prevent a first cardiovascular event.

    Adults aged 40 to 75 with no history of cardiovascular disease, one or more risk factors (dyslipidemia, diabetes, hypertension, or smoking), and an estimated 10-year cardiovascular event risk of 7.5% to less than 10%.

    The Task Force recommends that clinicians selectively offer a statin to this group, and states that the likelihood of benefit is smaller here than for people whose 10-year risk is 10% or greater.

    The options

    Start a statin now

    Start a statin and keep taking it as ongoing prevention.

    • For this risk band the Task Force concludes with moderate certainty that statin use has at least a small net benefit for preventing cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.

      Applies to: Adults aged 40 to 75 with a 10-year risk of 7.5% to less than 10% and at least one risk factor.

    • Across 22 trials, statins were associated with lower all-cause mortality (absolute risk difference -0.35%), fewer myocardial infarctions (-0.85%), fewer strokes (-0.39%), and fewer composite cardiovascular events (-1.28%).

      Applies to: Adults without prior cardiovascular events across a range of baseline risk, followed for 6 months to 6 years. These figures are not specific to the 7.5% to under 10% band.

    • The association with cardiovascular mortality was not statistically significant.

      Applies to: Same pooled trial population.

    • Statin therapy was not significantly associated with increased serious adverse events, muscle pain, or raised liver enzymes.

      Applies to: 22 randomized trials plus 3 observational studies reporting harms.

    • Statin therapy was not significantly associated with increased diabetes risk overall, though one trial found high-intensity statin therapy was.

      Applies to: Pooled trials; the high-intensity finding comes from a single trial.

    Do not start a statin now, and revisit

    No statin now. Revisit it as risk factors or preferences change.

    • The small net benefit the Task Force concludes statin use has for this risk band is forgone.

      Applies to: Adults in the 7.5% to under 10% risk band.

    • For this band the Task Force recommends selectively offering a statin rather than prescribing one for everyone who qualifies.

      Applies to: Adults in the 7.5% to under 10% risk band.

    Set against what matters to you

    Read from what you saved on this device.

    Speaks to what matters to you

    Nothing yet. Mark what matters to you, and anything the sources say about it shows up here.

    Pulls in two directions

    Nothing so far pulls against anything else.

    Still unknown

    • Nothing is marked as a priority yet, so nothing here is connected to what matters to you. The options and their sources are still readable below.

      Not in the sources here.

    • The Task Force found the evidence insufficient to assess starting a statin for primary prevention in adults 76 years or older, and trial data for people older than 75 were sparse.

      US Preventive Services Task Force, 2022 statement

    • The trials reviewed had 6 months to 6 years of follow-up. The risk threshold the recommendation uses is a 10-year estimate.

      Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality evidence review for the USPSTF, 2022 statement

    • Your own 10-year risk estimate comes from a calculator applied to your measurements. Neither the estimate nor how it was produced is carried in this record.

      Not in the sources here.

    • What ongoing statin treatment would involve for you day to day, including monitoring, cost, and interaction with other medicines, is not carried in this record.

      Not in the sources here.

    Worth asking

    • What is my estimated 10-year risk, which calculator produced it, and what went into it?
    • What would starting a statin involve for me: dose, monitoring, cost, and other medicines I take?
    • What would we watch for, and when would we reconsider this?
    • What non-medication steps would change my risk, and by how much?
    Start with what matters

    Sources

    • US Preventive Services Task Force. Statin Use for the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in Adults: US Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement. JAMA. 2022;328(8):746-753.

      https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2022.13044

      Read 2026-09-11 from the PubMed record (structured abstract of the version of record).

    • Chou R, Cantor A, Dana T, et al. Statin Use for the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in Adults: Updated Evidence Report and Systematic Review for the US Preventive Services Task Force. JAMA. 2022;328(8):754-771.

      https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2022.12138

      Read 2026-09-11 from the PubMed record (structured abstract of the version of record).

    Each statement above paraphrases one of these sources closely. Filing it under a priority is our editorial choice.